{"id":5792,"date":"2026-10-14T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-14T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/?p=5792"},"modified":"2026-10-13T20:55:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T17:55:13","slug":"ai-impact-global-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/","title":{"rendered":"Global trade has accelerated thanks to AI"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The artificial intelligence boom has become one of the main factors supporting the global economy, and China and India have emerged among the countries benefiting from it the most<\/strong>. The International Monetary Fund raised its growth forecast<\/a> for the global economy in 2026 from 3% to 3.1%<\/strong>, despite high energy prices and geopolitical risks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The scale of AI’s impact is particularly evident in trade. From 2023 to 2025, global trade grew by 8.3%<\/strong>, while trade in artificial intelligence-related goods and services surged by 29%<\/strong>. Without this segment, overall trade growth would have amounted to just 4.6%<\/strong>, IMF Chief Economist Silvana Tenreyro stated at the annual meeting of the Fund and the World Bank in Bangkok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The largest BRICS economies have become some of the main beneficiaries of this effect. According to IMF forecasts, India in 2026<\/strong> will grow by 7%<\/strong><\/a> and will remain the fastest-growing major economy in the world. China \u2013 by 4.5%.<\/strong> By comparison, the global economy will expand by 3.1%, the US by 2.3%, and the eurozone by about 1.1%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

China occupies a central place in the emerging AI economy as both a producer and a major consumer of technological equipment. According to IMF estimates, the United States and China together account for more than three-quarters of net global demand for imports of microchips and other AI equipment<\/strong>. It is precisely this concentration of demand and production in a limited number of countries that largely determines today where global growth is being redistributed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

India is gaining a different kind of advantage: strong domestic momentum is combined with a growing technology sector and expanding AI-related demand. The IMF has raised its estimate of India’s growth to 7%, although a year earlier the economy grew by 7.7%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, far from everyone is a winner. According to IMF estimates, now only 32 countries account for 95% of global economic growth<\/strong>, whereas as recently as this spring there were 54 such countries. The Fund attributes the widening gap, among other things, to how deeply a given country’s economy is integrated into AI value chains and how heavily it depends on expensive imported energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the IMF also warns of risks. If the current massive investments in AI do not lead to a comparable increase in productivity, the effect on the economy will be weaker and inflationary pressure higher. A sharp reassessment of the profitability of AI projects could trigger a market correction and hit investment, while the high concentration of supply chains makes the global technology market more vulnerable to disruptions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

China and India are the winners, according to a new IMF forecast<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1042,3],"tags":[],"country":[],"authors":[],"class_list":["post-5792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-brics-plus-news","category-main-issue"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAI Impact on Global Trade: China and India Benefit - BRICS Business Magazine - EN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The IMF raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing the AI boom as a key driver of trade and economic growth in China and India\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ru_RU\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AI Impact on Global Trade: China and India Benefit - BRICS Business Magazine - EN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The IMF raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing the AI boom as a key driver of trade and economic growth in China and India\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"BRICS Business Magazine - EN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-14T10:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"teya\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u041d\u0430\u043f\u0438\u0441\u0430\u043d\u043e \u0430\u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043c\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"teya\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0447\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0443\u0442\u044b\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/ai-impact-global-trade\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/ai-impact-global-trade\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"teya\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/e61590ad6649b378e69d24b82d51adf1\"},\"headline\":\"Global trade has accelerated thanks to AI\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-14T10:00:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/ai-impact-global-trade\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":410,\"articleSection\":[\"BRICS+ news\",\"MAIN ISSUE\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/ai-impact-global-trade\\\/\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/ai-impact-global-trade\\\/\",\"name\":\"AI Impact on Global Trade: China and India Benefit - BRICS Business Magazine - EN\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-14T10:00:00+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/e61590ad6649b378e69d24b82d51adf1\"},\"description\":\"The IMF raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing the AI boom as a key driver of trade and economic growth in China and India\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/ai-impact-global-trade\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/ai-impact-global-trade\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/ai-impact-global-trade\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"MAIN ISSUE\",\"item\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Agenda\",\"item\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":4,\"name\":\"BRICS+ news\",\"item\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/main-issue\\\/agenda\\\/brics-plus-news\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":5,\"name\":\"Global trade has accelerated thanks to AI\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"BRICS Business Magazine - EN\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"http:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/e61590ad6649b378e69d24b82d51adf1\",\"name\":\"teya\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"ru-RU\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/3f1ac54115bce5d38bf60fc05eaa5669f69b3ba74205fc6e26c79212a2bbee5f?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/3f1ac54115bce5d38bf60fc05eaa5669f69b3ba74205fc6e26c79212a2bbee5f?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/secure.gravatar.com\\\/avatar\\\/3f1ac54115bce5d38bf60fc05eaa5669f69b3ba74205fc6e26c79212a2bbee5f?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"teya\"},\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/bricsmagazine.com\\\/en\\\/author\\\/teya\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"AI Impact on Global Trade: China and India Benefit - BRICS Business Magazine - EN","description":"The IMF raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing the AI boom as a key driver of trade and economic growth in China and India","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/","og_locale":"ru_RU","og_type":"article","og_title":"AI Impact on Global Trade: China and India Benefit - BRICS Business Magazine - EN","og_description":"The IMF raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing the AI boom as a key driver of trade and economic growth in China and India","og_url":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/","og_site_name":"BRICS Business Magazine - EN","article_published_time":"2026-10-14T10:00:00+00:00","author":"teya","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"\u041d\u0430\u043f\u0438\u0441\u0430\u043d\u043e \u0430\u0432\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043c":"teya","\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u043d\u043e\u0435 \u0432\u0440\u0435\u043c\u044f \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0447\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0438\u044f":"3 \u043c\u0438\u043d\u0443\u0442\u044b"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/"},"author":{"name":"teya","@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/e61590ad6649b378e69d24b82d51adf1"},"headline":"Global trade has accelerated thanks to AI","datePublished":"2026-10-14T10:00:00+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/"},"wordCount":410,"articleSection":["BRICS+ news","MAIN ISSUE"],"inLanguage":"ru-RU"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/","url":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/","name":"AI Impact on Global Trade: China and India Benefit - BRICS Business Magazine - EN","isPartOf":{"@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2026-10-14T10:00:00+00:00","author":{"@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/e61590ad6649b378e69d24b82d51adf1"},"description":"The IMF raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, citing the AI boom as a key driver of trade and economic growth in China and India","breadcrumb":{"@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"ru-RU","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/ai-impact-global-trade\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"MAIN ISSUE","item":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Agenda","item":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":4,"name":"BRICS+ news","item":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/main-issue\/agenda\/brics-plus-news\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":5,"name":"Global trade has accelerated thanks to AI"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/#website","url":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/","name":"BRICS Business Magazine - EN","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"ru-RU"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"http:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/e61590ad6649b378e69d24b82d51adf1","name":"teya","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"ru-RU","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3f1ac54115bce5d38bf60fc05eaa5669f69b3ba74205fc6e26c79212a2bbee5f?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3f1ac54115bce5d38bf60fc05eaa5669f69b3ba74205fc6e26c79212a2bbee5f?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3f1ac54115bce5d38bf60fc05eaa5669f69b3ba74205fc6e26c79212a2bbee5f?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"teya"},"url":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/author\/teya\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5792","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/10"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5792"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5792\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5801,"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5792\/revisions\/5801"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5792"},{"taxonomy":"country","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/country?post=5792"},{"taxonomy":"authors","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bricsmagazine.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/authors?post=5792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}