BRICS Business Magazine English Edition No.3(7)
Moore’s Law states that the number of transistors on integrated circuits doubles every 24 months. And while Gordon Moore, one of the founders of Intel, said the rule would cease to operate due to strictly physical limitations regarding the speed of light and molecular structure, he correctly forecasted the exponential growth of computer processing speeds. Unfortunately, the progress inherent to microelectronics does not hold in other industries, yet some scientists find it applicable in the theory of evolution. They are calculating the growth of organism complexity, finding that organisms emerged long before the advent of the solar system.
Regardless, technological progress is one of the most obvious phenomena, which nearly everyone can verify based on their own experiences. We are unable to predict exactly where technology will bring us, yet, barring any catastrophic scenarios, it is inevitable it will continue developing. This is a boon for thinking about the future in a more concrete way. It is interesting to think that in 300 to 400 years, the world could be as different from today as ours is from the Middle Ages.
In this picture, man himself proves to be somewhat technological. We see that technology far outpaces moral progress. People still harbor animosity for each other, remain wary of each other, and avoid trying to understand each other. And a slight relaxation of mores, caused by long-standing prosperity, easily translates into war and crisis. I think the magnitude of this challenge has yet to be grasped. Self-improvement, however trifling it may sound is just as essential for humanity today as quantum mathematics and human spaceflight. This work is just as inevitable as development.
Ruben Vardanyan
Chairman of the Editorial Board
of BRICS Business Magazine